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Mea Culpa

I've been itching to write this, so save all the delay conspiracies, the fanatics among you.  I wrote on Saturday I'd be gone this weekend.  I'm back now and can get back to business.

Yes, I was wrong about the UGA/Boise game.

Dead wrong.

Wrong about the outcome.  Wrong about Boise's performance.  Wrong about UGA's performance.

But be very careful to give a blanket dismissal of the arguments made during that time.

I talked about schemes, style of play, talent, belief, and several other factors.

What we learned from the game was the following:

  • Boise is horribly beyond repair less talented than Georgia.  I thought they had enough talent in spots to overcome Georgia.  Jared Zabransky going into the game was someone who was strikingly efficient, confident, and had an extra running dimension to his game.

Against Georgia, he was throwing interceptions all over the place and  making all kinds of turnovers.  Certainly a lot of this was due to Georgia.  They planned very well for Boise's attack (particularly early on) and Boise fell into their trap---throwing down the field on their bread and butter plays.  The result: several interceptions.  Not every interception was necessarily Georgia's doing, but enough were to give them credit.

Georgia's on field talent and depth made it impossible for Boise from the get-go to have confidence in its plan.  One big hit there, a stop there, and Boise crumbled.  I did not expect that.  A football game is 60 minutes long and a lot can happen within that time frame.  Boise gave up almost immediately, and credit goes to Georgia for making that happen.

  • DJ Shockley can play a little football.  He's had a significant history of booting games, but boy did he man up on Saturday.  Although still not a great thrower, he made the throws asked of him.  This is a signal to me that at least for one game, Mark Richt returned to his Florida State days and gave his passing offense the keys to the car, so to speak.  So often we've seen Georgias passing offense more or less follow a pretty bland play-action, someone get open style, mixed in with a few dumps to the backs and a handful of tosses to the second option over the middle.  Not this game.  The Dawgs presented a variety of looks well beyond their normal approach, someone I'm fairly certain Boise State did not prepare for.

 For his part, Shockley had a fine grasp of what his coaches wanted to do with the passing offense and had one of the finest days a Georgia quarterback has had in recent memory.  That extra ability to run with the ball was the icing on the cake, and pushed Georgia from a game in which they might have scored in the mid 30's to a game in which they nearly hit 50 (and leniency probably was the only thing in the way of reaching that total).

Now, to defend some of the points made.  Like HeismanPundit, I've also been consistently more concerned with the why's of college football.  The main argument before this game was that Boise's scheme, its style of play, was so vastly superior to Georgia's that it could overcome Georgia's talent gap (combined with Boise's unusual confidence and swagger) that it could win this game.

Georgia obviously won this game.  But the scheme issue will continue to linger.  Echoing HP's discussion in his Mea Culpa, Boise State was so far behind from the first whistle in this game, they really never had a chance to implement their scheme, some of the scripted plays, and the overall technical advantage they possess.  Jared Zabransky, partly due to Georgia's talent and preparation on defense, partly due to his own boneheadedness, buried Boise in a hole from which they had to alter their plans.  Their magnificent offense was scrapped in order to play catch-up.  Obviously Boise doesn't do catch-up all that well.  Georgia made it an impossible task.

As predicted before the game, if Boise did not win, it would be because Georgia's talent was so beyond superior as to render Boise's schematic advantage moot.  This was the case, aided by the horrific play of Boise's quarterback.  The Georgia pimps will say it was all Georgia's defense, but I can assure you most savvy fans were shocked at some of the gross incompetence on display by Jared Zabransky.  The answer rests somewhere in the middle---credit to UGA, shame on Jared Zabransky.

Leaving this game, we can be certain that Boise will continue to run its wonderful offense, and probably have some decent success this year.  Great design is great design, and sometimes a team just runs into a buzzsaw like UGA where they don't have a shot to really do the things their offense can do.

If you watched any games at all this weekend, there were plenty of examples of scheme and style of play.  To cite just one example, Wisconsin's perfected rushing attack was too much for a great Bowling Green offensive attack.  But Bowling Green also did things to Wisconsin's defense, headed by an elite defensive coordinator, that has never been achieved by Big Ten opponents.  Using vastly inferior talent.  That's kind of the point.  These low talent teams are, at times, able to play on the same stage as super talented teams.  Its not luck, but design.

When the great talents like USC begin adopting some of the more winning schemes out there, you create these vastly superior teams.  That's why Florida will soon be great.  That's why I highlighted a team like Boise State before the season.  Not everything goes right for all these guys, but on the whole, they're more able to dictate games to their opponents than more traditional approaches on offense and defense.  In other words, there's less left to chance.

But sometimes, there's nothing you can do about talent.  Obviously that's part of what happened with Boise State.

I now have the fun task of swiftly removing Boise State out of my preseason top 10, putting Utah on Big Six probation, downgrading Boise State on the Bix Six charts, etc. etc. etc.  That's part of the fun of the game though, we're learning a bit more about what each team is doing, the limits to how far talent goes, how far coaching and style of play goes.  Corrections are made and we move onto the next week.

One last thought.  I must give Georgia coach Mark Richt some praise.  I finally saw UGA's passing offense emerge this weekend, bringing back memories of his more wide open Florida State days.  It took a while, but he's pushed the Georgia offense a little more forward.  Pretty opportunistic too, choosing the Boise State game to show off the new look.  It certainly threw Boise's DC for a loop.

There are obviously long-term shortcomings for that offense (anyone remember Oklahoma 13-FSU 2?), but it's still better than what Georgia has been running.  Hopefully they'll continue to move in that direction, because there's something not quite right about their rushing attack.

Georgia fans are having their well-deserved moment in the sun right now, and hopefully that moment persists.  I have reservations about the team still, but obviously many of them were lessened over this weekend.  I did not give that team enough credit, and hopefully they will continue to win in significant fashion so as to where I don't have to do the opposite and give them too much credit.

Ok, one more "last thing"...

The talk of scheme and style of play will continue here.   Too many other games and teams give great evidence to its existence and power, and will certainly be elaborated upon further on here and HP.  You can rightly criticize me for missing the boat with Boise State, but to dismiss that this stuff even exists or is not incredibly powerful, means you're completely missing the boat when it comes to football.

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Reader Comments (15)

Reasonably well said, RA, but you're buying the first round of beers this time.
September 5, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterKevin @ Fanblogs.com
I love it, what do you know, Boise plays a real defense and they put up 7 points. but you refuse to give it up, I said it before, and I'll say it again. Execution and ball protection is all that matters, we dropped back, played the most vanilla defense we have played in years, and watched as WR's and FB's and TE's moved around and played in the slot and did all those things that make your "sophisticated" offense so important, all those things that I heard were going to confuse those poor dumb dawg defenders. Then the ball was snapped and all that foolishness was over, Boise was smacked in the mouth and the UGA defense was in perfect position on almost every play......but of course its still scheme that matters, and defense really doesn't make champions. I asked about two months ago how low the Boise point total would have to be to shut you up, evidently 7 against the 1st team isn't low enough. You and the pundit refuse to face reality
September 5, 2005 | Unregistered Commenternavydawg
My talks with HP have gained him respect in my mind, but RA is doing a lot to push me the other way. While I'm not interested in repeating everything I've said on HP, there is one sticking point that I want to discuss.

DJ Shockley not a great thrower? I'm not calling him Steve Young yet, but he made some excellent throws on Saturday. The fourth touchdown pass was a throw that perhaps 5 other guys in America could have made. He was close to flawless in the passing game. 5 bad drops kept him from being 21 of 24. The other 3? His first pass, when he was undoubtedly a little too amped, sailed high. He had one where he was getting hit and the ball only flew about 6 yards. The last was a throw that was a little low, and kind of one-hopped his receiver. End result? One poor throw. I only want an admission here that this kid is the truth, because we discussed it little more than 4 days ago.
September 5, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterCody
If you ask me, it was Boise State and their coaching staff who was out-schemed, and out-coached. Yes Georgia had superior athletes but, they also have superior coaches. Hawkins made some big coaching blunders in that game. i.e. he was down 17-0 with less than 2 mins. left in the half deep in own end of the field and chose to continue to throw the ball. Second verse, same as the first, result, 24-0 Georgia. And, he gave up too soon on the run which was alot more successful for him than the run. It probably wouldn't have won the game but, it would have at least kept the ball away from Georgia longer and things would have been a lot more tolerable.
September 5, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterGB
Hey RA, tell us again about the "gang of six". How are they doing after week 1?
September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterDawgy1
A proper mea culpa! Credit where credit is due...
September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterOrson Swindle
That's better. You know, there is a reason the top teams run pro-style. Just give that a little consideration in balance when touting the sophisticated offenses.

The offense Saturday was not radically different from what UGA has run under Richt to date. The center of the field is now open where it was not with David Greene -- different personnel and different options. Richt has always tried to distribute the ball, but was working within the framework of the personnel he had – and won a lot of games. But you don’t care about or watch UGA football and wouldn’t know that. Obviously, however, you do care about and watch BSU and came off as a homer. That’s what got you in trouble here, you were not objective at all. Then again this is your blog, I guess you don’t need to be objective.

As for missing the boat, well, we're not taking advice from the swimmers today ;)
September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterBayouDawg
Look, I think there is something to this scheme argument (although "sophistication" is the wrong term I think). But what you guys overlook is execution. You can take a fairly vanilla scheme against the scheme run by the rams of a few years ago, have equal talent, and the vanilla team will win if they execute better. Ohio State was boring when they won the MNC, but damn it they executed on both sides of the ball. Some coaches are better than others at achieving good execution. Look at the Ram's example I gave earlier. After Vermeil left, they still ran the same offense, but under Marts, the execution wasn't the same and they were plagued with errors. They became an NFL also ran. The Patriots, who have a good scheme on offense and great one on defense, is a dynasty because they are all on the same page all the time and they execute the game plan to perfection.

One last thing, the Predator, for Bowling Green, was probably the most talented thing on the field that day so although there is an overall talent gap, it is not what it used to be thanks to scholarship limits.
September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterStranko Montana
Boise surprised me a little to. I was thinking they'd be better, but it's hard to say from that game. Things went southa nd they didn't recover - I can't fault them overmuch. They couldn't get anything going in the first half and then the late dagger seemed to deflate their high-tech polymer sails (sorry, I couldn't resist - enough of that).

The Georgia defensive scheming deserves credit. Zabranski definately did not play well, that was a huge factor. Georgia's offense was very good against a mediocre defense (well, a mediocre defese at home, and not so good on the road perhaps) - no surprise there. Maybe we didn't learn much this weekend.

Except that Defense is awesome and turnovers suck.

I'm with Stranko - I've never liked the sophistication thing. If you can do the simplest things well, but you make the other guy think you are going to do something else - that's Reeces PBC awesomeness. Simple dive and tackle plays can easily be big games. Passes gain huge chuncks of yardage.

That's not to say that schemes are all about smoke and mirrors - they aren't. And some people are being very creative in their schemes these days.

Also, I think it;s kind of weird to say "Richt's offense is limited thanks to the FSU OU game", but we can save that for a rainy day.
September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterPeacedog
Boise State will never compete with a Top 15 team until they find a defensive coordinator with a system that exists within the frame work of reality or common sense.

If you can slow a team's running game with 9 in the box, but you're getting torched in the air. Then you MUST try slowing the run with 7 or 8 in the box and putting more guys into coverage. They refused to do that and they were gutted defensively for 574 yards. considering what a short field that UGA had to work with in the first half that is a HUGE number of yards.

I don't buy this idea that Boise had to scrap their entire game plan from the jump. It was still only 14-0 midway thru the 2nd. For a team like Boise that can score 28+ points in a quarter, that's not a hole that can't be climbed out of. It was only 17-0 with 5 minutes left in the half. The final score was just minutes remaining.

The reality is that UGA outschemed them badly. Our DC didn't get suckered into a guessing game with them. We played react defense and kept hte plays in front of us. We didn't get beaten by their misdirection or play action. And it was b/c we made it very simple for our guys. AND yes we did out athlete them.

Scheme IS important. But Boise schemes for scheme's sake. UGA schemes to win.

September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterPaulwesterdawg
Well said CFR. Classy mea culpas from both you and CFBPundit. I like your "Here are my ideas, let's have a respectful dialogue" approach over "here are my ideas, which are the most worthy ideas, and I will defend them to the death at the expense of any other ideas, and I also will never sincerely admit error" approach used by your buddy. The truth in the whole UGA/BSU imbroglio, as well as scheme/conference superiority talk, et. al. is perfectly encapsullated by one simple line you wrote above: "The answer rests somewhere in the middle." Hopefully now everyone can move the hell on and enjoy both teams for what they are for the rest of the season.
September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterKanu
Richt didn't show off anything new with his passing game. It just looked that way because BSU's defensive backfield couldn't start for some good high school teams in Georgia...and they didn't look to be well coached either
September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterGreg
They were both terribly wrong of course, and still miss a few points, but I don't see how Cody can sit there and say HP did a better job defending himself than RA. At least RA gave Georgia credit, whereas HP basically refuses to admit he was wrong for the most part, gives UGA ZERO credit, and blames it all on Z/Boise.

So in my mind, CFR is still a place I might consider discussing CFB on, while I will avoid HP like the plague, because either he doesn't know anything about football, or he doesn't want to.

Good job RA, we all hafta eat crow every once in awhile. I ate my fair share on the UT game last year, and I can imagine you go out on many more limbs than us homers do. Hell I'll be eating a ton if Spurrier comes in here and upsets us...

Anyway, we'll see how this scheme vs talent stuff continues to play out... I just hope you won't be too stubborn to admit it doesn't if things keep going this way.
September 6, 2005 | Unregistered CommenterGDawg34
I go out on MANY limbs. Its part of getting ahead of the argument.

Spurrier has no business beating UGA this year. I might have to get on you guys if that happens. In time he may, but certainly not now. Not even close.
September 6, 2005 | Registered CommenterCFR
RA, there's one factual statement in your post I think is way off and it reall undermines your point.

Wisconsin has been lit up a lot over the last 5 years. The halcyon days of stout Wiconsin defense are over.

In 2001 they gave up 42 to Minnesota, 42 to MSU, 42 to Illinois and 63 to a terrible Indiana team.

In 2002 they gave up 30+ in 4 of 8 Big 10 teams.

2003 was better, only giving up 30+ (37) to Minnesota (and Akron OOC).

They closed 2004 by giving up 49 to Michigan State (with Stanton missing most of the game) and 30 to Iowa.

You can talk about their great DC all you want, but the fact is it's been a LONG time since putting a bundle of points on Wisconsin was a sign of greatness.
September 8, 2005 | Unregistered Commenterny1995

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